Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000559 0.000645 0.000737 0.000841 0.000957 0.001081 0.001223
2025-06-08 0.000410 0.000524 0.000655 0.000815 0.001003 0.001218 0.001477
2025-06-15 0.000340 0.000466 0.000618 0.000812 0.001051 0.001332 0.001684
2025-06-22 0.000287 0.000420 0.000587 0.000810 0.001094 0.001437 0.001879
2025-06-29 0.000243 0.000378 0.000555 0.000799 0.001120 0.001518 0.002043
2025-07-06 0.000206 0.000339 0.000522 0.000783 0.001135 0.001583 0.002185
2025-07-13 0.000186 0.000323 0.000517 0.000801 0.001193 0.001703 0.002399
2025-07-20 0.000167 0.000306 0.000508 0.000813 0.001242 0.001810 0.002599
2025-07-27 0.000146 0.000281 0.000487 0.000804 0.001262 0.001878 0.002746
2025-08-03 0.000127 0.000257 0.000463 0.000789 0.001271 0.001930 0.002874
2025-08-10 0.000115 0.000245 0.000456 0.000798 0.001313 0.002029 0.003065
2025-08-17 0.000103 0.000230 0.000444 0.000799 0.001343 0.002109 0.003232
2025-08-24 0.000087 0.000207 0.000416 0.000774 0.001333 0.002134 0.003326
2025-08-31 0.000073 0.000186 0.000391 0.000750 0.001323 0.002160 0.003419
2025-09-07 0.000065 0.000174 0.000379 0.000747 0.001346 0.002231 0.003579
2025-09-14 0.000058 0.000164 0.000368 0.000745 0.001369 0.002303 0.003740
2025-09-21 0.000050 0.000151 0.000353 0.000735 0.001378 0.002354 0.003871
2025-09-28 0.000043 0.000138 0.000336 0.000720 0.001377 0.002389 0.003980
2025-10-05 0.000040 0.000135 0.000338 0.000737 0.001430 0.002506 0.004211
2025-10-12 0.000037 0.000130 0.000336 0.000747 0.001473 0.002609 0.004422
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000121 0.000324 0.000739 0.001483 0.002661 0.004559
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000112 0.000310 0.000726 0.001482 0.002697 0.004670
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000108 0.000307 0.000734 0.001521 0.002794 0.004876